Comments on: YTD Performance http://karleggerss.com/?p=1288&utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=ytd-performance A Karl Eggerss Blog Mon, 23 Aug 2010 23:39:35 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0.1 By: Franklin Myers http://karleggerss.com/?p=1288&cpage=1#comment-670 Franklin Myers Tue, 16 Feb 2010 22:50:22 +0000 http://karleggerss.com/?p=1288#comment-670 China 'round two'--you saw the 'raising' of the reserve levels in China. Most reported this as an effort to rein in the lending. And, the markets reacted negatively. You will see more over the coming months, but the lending will not stop--slow, yes, but not stop. We're now getting reports from Australia that bulk cargo carriers are waiting in que at Newcastle for the loading of coal. And that shipping rates for the vessels are starting to rise quickly. The Chinese market is still going strong. The leaders don't want to report double digit growth rates and see inflation internally--but it's probably coming. Look to see if they start removing the subsidies from energy--that is how they slow their markets. Until then it's mostly noise. Greece is not the European problem--Italy is. Germany can fix Greece easily, but not Italy. If they are soft on Greece, they will have a big issue later. They're setting the stage to keep the others in line. Ireland and Portugal are probably resolved. Spain can get there but only after some labor strikes. Italy is the wild card. The Euro zone cannot afford that problem. I'm waiting for your next blog. China ’round two’–you saw the ‘raising’ of the reserve levels in China. Most reported this as an effort to rein in the lending. And, the markets reacted negatively. You will see more over the coming months, but the lending will not stop–slow, yes, but not stop. We’re now getting reports from Australia that bulk cargo carriers are waiting in que at Newcastle for the loading of coal. And that shipping rates for the vessels are starting to rise quickly. The Chinese market is still going strong. The leaders don’t want to report double digit growth rates and see inflation internally–but it’s probably coming. Look to see if they start removing the subsidies from energy–that is how they slow their markets. Until then it’s mostly noise.

Greece is not the European problem–Italy is. Germany can fix Greece easily, but not Italy. If they are soft on Greece, they will have a big issue later. They’re setting the stage to keep the others in line. Ireland and Portugal are probably resolved. Spain can get there but only after some labor strikes. Italy is the wild card. The Euro zone cannot afford that problem.

I’m waiting for your next blog.

]]> By: Jim Morey http://karleggerss.com/?p=1288&cpage=1#comment-643 Jim Morey Tue, 09 Feb 2010 02:53:15 +0000 http://karleggerss.com/?p=1288#comment-643 Thanks Karl for the chart that shows performance by sector. This is very helpful information and I appreciate you sharing the pertinent information. Take Care, Jim Thanks Karl for the chart that shows performance by sector. This is very helpful information and I appreciate you sharing the pertinent information.

Take Care,
Jim

]]> By: Mike http://karleggerss.com/?p=1288&cpage=1#comment-642 Mike Tue, 09 Feb 2010 01:37:21 +0000 http://karleggerss.com/?p=1288#comment-642 Karl, I've been DB short the Euro for a few weeks now. Is it too late to add to this position? I think Pimpco put out a note on Friday targeting 1.26 on Euro/dollar. Karl,

I’ve been DB short the Euro for a few weeks now. Is it too late to add to this position? I think Pimpco put out a note on Friday targeting 1.26 on Euro/dollar.

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